At NAIS 2025, Russia’s National Aviation Infrastructure Forum, held this week in Moscow, Rosaviatsia head Dmitry Yadrov announced that passenger traffic for Russian airlines is projected to decrease by 1.7% in 2025.
"For this year, Rosaviatsia and the Ministry of Transport have set the target at approximately 109.7 million passengers," Yadrov stated, according to Interfax.
This forecast marks a decline compared to the 5.8% growth recorded in Russia’s air transport sector in 2024, driven by a 20.1% increase in international traffic (27 million passengers) and a 2% rise in domestic travel (84.6 million passengers).
Challenges Ahead: Aircraft Shortages and Sanctions
According to Interfax, experts from the State Research Institute of Civil Aviation had previously predicted that air traffic in 2025 could drop to 95.1 million passengers, with a further decline to 91.2 million in 2026. The primary cause is the shortage of aircraft in Russian airline fleets, severely affected by Western sanctions—a challenge compounded by broader issues in the global aviation industry.
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